Merthyr Town vs Gosport Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
MER
4 - 5
SLO
39%
24%
38%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
KET
5 - 0
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
STI
2 - 3
MER
15%
22%
63%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
TIV
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
ROY
44%
24%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
DOR
7 - 2
GOS
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GOS
1 - 3
BIS
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GOS
0 - 3
HIT
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
KIN
1 - 1
GOS
64%
20%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
STR
2 - 0
GOS
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |