Merstham vs Walton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
MER
5 - 0
WHI
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
MER
1 - 4
CHI
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
HYT
3 - 2
MER
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MER
5 - 0
TOW
58%
21%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 0
MER
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Walton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
RAM
1 - 1
WAL
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
HAS
2 - 1
WAL
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 2
CRA
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 2
PEA
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
THR
5 - 2
WAL
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |