Merstham vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
MER
40%
24%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MER
4 - 1
WIN
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
MER
6 - 0
HAM
25%
23%
53%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 1
MER
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
MER
0 - 1
KIN
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
STA
6 - 0
TOO
46%
23%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TOO
1 - 1
BRI
36%
24%
39%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 0
TOO
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
TOO
1 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
RAM
1 - 1
TOO
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |