Merstham vs Dulwich Hamlet FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
MER
1 - 5
WAL
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 2
MER
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
BUR
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
MER
2 - 4
BOG
22%
24%
53%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
FAV
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dulwich Hamlet FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
DUL
1 - 1
HOR
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 4
DUL
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 4
DUL
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
DUL
3 - 0
SIT
47%
25%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
DUL
2 - 4
RAM
57%
23%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |