Merstham vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
HYT
3 - 2
MER
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MER
5 - 0
TOW
58%
21%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 0
MER
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MER
0 - 2
FOL
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
MER
3 - 2
RED
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
HOR
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
RAM
0 - 2
CHI
79%
13%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 3
GUE
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
WAL
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
TOO
2 - 2
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |