Merrimack vs Howard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merrimack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SFU
0 - 1
MMW
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
FDK
0 - 0
MMW
38%
22%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
MMW
1 - 1
LIU
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
CCU
2 - 1
MMW
33%
22%
46%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
MMM
2 - 3
MMW
15%
18%
67%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Howard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HBS
0 - 1
FBT
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |