De Merino.s vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Merino.s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
KHC
0 - 1
DEM
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DEM
0 - 1
NUN
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SVI
4 - 1
DEM
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
DEM
1 - 1
SDV
26%
22%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
VVS
5 - 2
DEM
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GOA
1 - 0
DTS
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DOS
2 - 4
GOA
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GOA
3 - 0
HIE
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
DOS
4 - 0
GOA
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DOS
1 - 2
GOA
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |