AD Mérida vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
MAD
11%
21%
69%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
MAD
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAD
3 - 1
MON
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CPC
1 - 1
MAD
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 1
AZU
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
EMD
1 - 2
COR
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
EMD
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EMD
0 - 0
CPC
14%
22%
64%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AZU
1 - 1
EMD
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
EMD
0 - 1
PLA
15%
20%
66%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |