Merelinense vs Cerveira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
MER
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 1
MER
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
PED
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 3
MER
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
VFC
4 - 1
CER
42%
22%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CER
1 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
BRA
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIA
1 - 0
CER
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
MAR
17%
20%
63%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |