Merelinense vs Cerveira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
MER
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 1
MER
29%
26%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
PED
68%
18%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 3
MER
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
VFC
4 - 1
CER
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CER
1 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
BRA
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIA
1 - 0
CER
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
MAR
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |