Merelinense U19 vs Mirandela U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
8º
4º
12
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
MER
26%
21%
54%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
MER
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSL
2 - 1
MER
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AMA
4 - 4
MER
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandela U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 1
VIL
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 3
VAR
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
MIR
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 5
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 0
MIR
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |