Mercadal vs Serverense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CLL
0 - 0
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 4
MER
19%
23%
58%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MER
0 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
MER
48%
25%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MER
3 - 3
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
UDR
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SER
5 - 1
SVE
74%
16%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 1
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
CFP
19%
25%
56%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SRF
3 - 0
SER
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |