Mercadal vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FLN
0 - 2
MER
36%
26%
39%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MER
3 - 0
SNF
56%
25%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CLL
1 - 2
MER
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MER
2 - 0
SRF
35%
28%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LLO
0 - 0
MER
62%
21%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PBL
0 - 0
CAM
47%
26%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
PBL
35%
24%
40%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
PBL
2 - 0
CFP
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MNC
0 - 2
PBL
49%
25%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PBL
1 - 3
MLL
12%
20%
67%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |