Mercadal vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
IBI
1 - 0
MER
21%
21%
59%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MER
3 - 1
SDF
19%
25%
56%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +4 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PCE
1 - 2
MER
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
CFP
61%
23%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
MER
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CON
4 - 2
CDS
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UDR
0 - 0
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
BNS
2 - 0
CON
43%
26%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
LLO
20%
25%
55%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |