Mensajero Sub 19 vs UD Ibarra Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
9º
16º
11º
21
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mensajero Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
MEN
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MEN
1 - 1
CDL
21%
21%
58%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAS
0 - 0
MEN
50%
22%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MEN
0 - 1
LPM
3%
7%
90%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 1
MEN
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD Ibarra Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UDA
5 - 1
PTO
25%
21%
54%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TNF
4 - 0
UDA
92%
6%
2%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 1
SFE
42%
23%
36%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
UDA
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 2
LGR
20%
20%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |