Mendrisio-Stabio vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
10º
6º
56
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MEN
1 - 3
KRI
11%
17%
73%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ESC
1 - 1
MEN
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MEN
2 - 0
UZW
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MEN
1 - 1
PER
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BUO
2 - 2
MEN
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 2
TUG
7%
11%
83%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 1
YFJ
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TUG
3 - 0
FCW
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
BAD
2 - 0
TUG
70%
17%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 3
GRA
65%
19%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |