Mellieha vs Luqa St. Andrew's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mellieha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
GZI
4 - 0
MEL
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MSI
4 - 1
MEL
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -3 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MEL
5 - 0
SEN
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 2
MEL
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Luqa St. Andrew's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LUQ
2 - 1
ZUR
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
GZI
2 - 0
LUQ
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LUQ
2 - 2
GHA
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
LUQ
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LUQ
3 - 1
KIR
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +3 |