Mellieha vs Birzebbuga St. Peters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mellieha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
MGA
0 - 3
MEL
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 1
NAX
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 2
SAI
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
GOZ
1 - 0
MEL
75%
17%
9%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
LIJ
2 - 1
MEL
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birzebbuga St. Peters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BIR
0 - 1
LIJ
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
BIR
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
ZEB
0 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
BIR
0 - 1
VEN
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
4 - 0
BIR
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |