Melita vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MEL
2 - 4
SLI
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GZI
2 - 2
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BIR
1 - 1
MEL
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MEL
2 - 0
FLO
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NAX
4 - 2
MEL
37%
23%
40%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ZAB
0 - 1
HAM
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
ZAB
1 - 2
HAM
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HAM
0 - 0
BIR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FLO
0 - 0
HAM
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
HIB
1 - 2
HAM
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |