Melistar vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melistar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 0
MEL
59%
19%
22%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
HUE
5 - 0
MEL
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 0
CDR
13%
18%
69%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MOT
8 - 1
MEL
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ATA
0 - 0
MAN
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
HUE
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
MAN
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
UDS
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |