UD Melilla vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
25.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
MEL
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 0
CRD
53%
27%
21%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 1
MEL
31%
29%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 0
VIL
42%
29%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
UCA
1 - 1
MEL
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 2
CDE
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
REC
2 - 1
SAN
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ECI
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
LOR
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |