UD Melilla vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
POL
3 - 1
MEL
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 1
ECI
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
GRA
5 - 1
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 1
SRQ
63%
22%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BET
5 - 0
MEL
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 2
ECI
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SRQ
1 - 0
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 1
SEV
47%
27%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
LUC
48%
25%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 1
RJA
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |