UD Melilla vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
AGD
1 - 0
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 2
CDL
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ECI
3 - 0
MEL
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SFE
0 - 1
MEL
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
UBC
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
LUC
3 - 1
SFE
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
UBC
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
POR
1 - 2
LUC
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 3
G74
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ROQ
3 - 0
LUC
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |