UD Melilla vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
MOT
3 - 2
MEL
56%
25%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
MEL
1 - 2
MER
57%
25%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
ADL
2 - 0
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
MEL
3 - 0
BET
58%
25%
17%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
UCF
0 - 0
MEL
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
JER
1 - 1
ANT
61%
24%
15%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
JER
2 - 0
CDR
53%
27%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
MOT
2 - 0
JER
59%
24%
17%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
JER
0 - 0
MER
49%
28%
23%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
BET
3 - 0
JER
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 74 | 44 | 0 |