UD Melilla vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAD
0 - 0
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
ROD
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDE
0 - 2
MEL
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
MEL
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
CRD
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 0
MAD
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ROD
2 - 3
LOR
25%
29%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CDE
0 - 3
LOR
30%
28%
43%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 0
MAN
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |