UD Melilla vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
33%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
DBN
0 - 0
MEL
19%
28%
53%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
GRA
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 2
MEL
39%
29%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 0
TAL
61%
24%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
MEL
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 1
MAL
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 3
CSK
17%
25%
59%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 2
CAR
21%
29%
50%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUM
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UCA
1 - 3
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |