UD Melilla vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
MEL
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 1
SEV
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
LEV
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SRQ
4 - 0
MEL
37%
30%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
BAL
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 1
ROD
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAD
2 - 5
ARR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARR
81%
14%
6%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 1
SEV
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
EIB
1 - 0
ARR
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |