Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
ADE
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CCM
0 - 3
MEL
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 0
MEL
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
MCI
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WPH
3 - 3
PER
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
WES
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
BRI
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
ADE
0 - 5
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PER
3 - 2
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |