Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CCM
1 - 0
MEL
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
WPH
2 - 3
MEL
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 3
PER
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SYD
1 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CCM
2 - 1
MEL
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 0
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 3
WES
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 2
ADE
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
47%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |