Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
12º
11º
26
3º
11º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WES
2 - 1
MEL
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 0
PER
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
2 - 1
MEL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WPH
1 - 2
MEL
50%
24%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
CCM
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
MFC
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 2
WES
33%
26%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
MFC
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MCI
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 1
MFC
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |