Australia Second Division NPL Victoria Round 1

FC Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis

FC Melbourne Knights Dandenong Thunder SC
36 ELO 42
-5% Tilt 6.6%
6677º General ELO ranking 5000º
82º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
46.7%
FC Melbourne Knights
24%
Draw
29.3%
Dandenong Thunder SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
FC Melbourne Knights
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.3%
Win probability
Dandenong Thunder SC
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Melbourne Knights
-74%
+283%
Dandenong Thunder SC

ELO progression

FC Melbourne Knights
Dandenong Thunder SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Melbourne Knights
FC Melbourne Knights
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2010
GRE
Green Gully Cavaliers
5 - 0
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
55%
24%
21%
37 44 7 0
08 Aug. 2010
MEL
FC Melbourne Knights
4 - 2
Northcote City
NOR
49%
24%
27%
36 38 2 +1
30 Jul. 2010
BEN
Bentleigh Greens
0 - 2
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
40%
24%
36%
35 30 5 +1
25 Jul. 2010
MEL
FC Melbourne Knights
2 - 2
Altona Magic
ALM
53%
23%
24%
35 36 1 0
18 Jul. 2010
SOU
South Melbourne
3 - 0
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
69%
18%
13%
36 40 4 -1

Matches

Dandenong Thunder SC
Dandenong Thunder SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2010
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
1 - 4
Northcote City
NOR
56%
22%
22%
41 36 5 0
15 Aug. 2010
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
0 - 1
Heidelberg Utd
HEU
50%
24%
26%
42 39 3 -1
07 Aug. 2010
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
1 - 1
Sunshine George Cross
SGC
69%
18%
13%
43 29 14 -1
31 Jul. 2010
GRE
Green Gully Cavaliers
2 - 1
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
48%
25%
27%
44 44 0 -1
16 Jul. 2010
BEN
Bentleigh Greens
0 - 2
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
30%
25%
45%
43 32 11 +1