De Meern vs Stormvogels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Meern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
JOS
0 - 1
DEM
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
DEM
3 - 2
VVI
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
EDO
1 - 1
DEM
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 2
DEM
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ZAP
2 - 1
DEM
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Stormvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DEM
3 - 2
STO
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
STO
3 - 3
ZAP
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DWV
3 - 2
STO
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HOO
0 - 1
STO
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
STO
0 - 1
USV
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |