Mdina Knights vs St. Venera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
68.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mdina Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
MDI
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MDI
0 - 5
MEL
13%
17%
69%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 0
MDI
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
XGH
4 - 0
MDI
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MDI
0 - 5
BIR
11%
15%
75%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
St. Venera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 3
BIR
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MQA
1 - 0
VEN
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 1
RAB
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +4 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
QRE
6 - 0
VEN
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 3
MTA
22%
22%
55%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |