Mbeya City vs Coastal Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
MBE
2 - 0
JKT
24%
28%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
MBE
0 - 2
SIM
9%
22%
69%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
MBE
0 - 1
AFC
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SUT
2 - 1
MBE
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
MBE
1 - 0
MBA
49%
28%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
COA
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
MBA
1 - 0
COA
29%
29%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
COA
0 - 0
MTI
43%
31%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
COA
2 - 2
NAM
23%
30%
48%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
COA
2 - 0
LFC
40%
30%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |