Mbabane Swallows vs Moneni Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
MBA
0 - 0
YOU
43%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
MBA
1 - 0
TAM
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 1
MBA
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
DNV
0 - 1
MBA
33%
25%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VOV
1 - 2
MBA
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moneni Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
VOV
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 2
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
DNV
1 - 2
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
MAN
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MON
0 - 5
YOU
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |