COSAFA Challenge Cup Round 1

Mauritius vs Namibia analysis

Mauritius Namibia
47 ELO 62
-2.8% Tilt 6.5%
7358º General ELO ranking 2395º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
71.1%
Mauritius
17.9%
Draw
11.1%
Namibia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
Mauritius
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
71.1%
Win probability
Namibia
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mauritius
+14%
-9%
Namibia

ELO progression

Mauritius
Namibia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mauritius
Mauritius
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2011
MUS
Mauritius
0 - 2
Senegal
SEN
13%
23%
65%
47 84 37 0
03 Sep. 2011
CMR
Cameroon
5 - 0
Mauritius
MUS
91%
7%
1%
47 87 40 0
05 Jun. 2011
MUS
Mauritius
1 - 2
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
COD
13%
19%
68%
48 73 25 -1
27 Mar. 2011
COD
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
3 - 0
Mauritius
MUS
80%
13%
6%
48 73 25 0
09 Oct. 2010
SEN
Senegal
7 - 0
Mauritius
MUS
84%
12%
4%
48 84 36 0

Matches

Namibia
Namibia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2013
NAM
Namibia
1 - 1
Nigeria
NGA
20%
28%
52%
61 88 27 0
05 Jun. 2013
MWI
Malawi
0 - 0
Namibia
NAM
52%
25%
24%
61 65 4 0
25 May. 2013
NAM
Namibia
0 - 0
Zambia
ZAM
21%
24%
55%
60 78 18 +1
23 Mar. 2013
NAM
Namibia
0 - 1
Malawi
MWI
39%
26%
35%
61 64 3 -1
12 Jan. 2013
MAR
Morocco
2 - 1
Namibia
NAM
77%
17%
6%
61 84 23 0