Paulista B 2º Fase - Fase de grupos. Jor. 5

Mauaense vs União Barbarense analysis

Mauaense União Barbarense
24 ELO 30
-8.5% Tilt -15.7%
10254º General ELO ranking 21706º
401º Country ELO ranking 585º
ELO win probability
23.1%
Mauaense
24.1%
Draw
52.8%
União Barbarense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
Mauaense
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.8%
Win probability
União Barbarense
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mauaense
+45%
-4%
União Barbarense

ELO progression

Mauaense
União Barbarense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mauaense
Mauaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2023
TAN
Tanabi
1 - 0
Mauaense
MAU
37%
24%
40%
22 21 1 0
08 Jul. 2023
MAU
Mauaense
1 - 1
Tanabi
TAN
40%
23%
37%
22 21 1 0
05 Jul. 2023
UNI
União Barbarense
2 - 0
Mauaense
MAU
71%
18%
12%
23 33 10 -1
30 Jun. 2023
MAU
Mauaense
0 - 0
XV de Novembro
ECN
14%
22%
64%
21 42 21 +2
24 Jun. 2023
NAC
Nacional SP
1 - 3
Mauaense
MAU
78%
15%
7%
20 42 22 +1

Matches

União Barbarense
União Barbarense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2023
ECN
XV de Novembro
4 - 0
União Barbarense
UNI
64%
21%
14%
32 43 11 0
08 Jul. 2023
UNI
União Barbarense
0 - 1
XV de Novembro
ECN
31%
26%
43%
33 42 9 -1
05 Jul. 2023
UNI
União Barbarense
2 - 0
Mauaense
MAU
71%
18%
12%
33 23 10 0
01 Jul. 2023
TAN
Tanabi
1 - 1
União Barbarense
UNI
19%
20%
62%
33 21 12 0
24 Jun. 2023
PAU
Paulista
0 - 2
União Barbarense
UNI
60%
21%
19%
32 36 4 +1
X