Mauaense vs Mauá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
ECU
0 - 0
MAU
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MAU
4 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
MAU
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AEA
1 - 1
MAU
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
MFC
3 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ECU
0 - 0
MFC
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
2 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
26%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
FLA
25%
26%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TAN
2 - 0
MFC
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |