Mauá vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TAN
2 - 0
MFC
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TUP
2 - 0
MFC
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 2
TUP
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
0 - 2
MFC
32%
23%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
TUP
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
TAN
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TAN
1 - 0
FLA
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FLA
4 - 0
COL
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 3
FLA
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |