Mauá vs Barcelona EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
MFC
0 - 0
MAU
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
MFC
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MFC
2 - 1
JAB
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 0
MFC
60%
21%
20%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
MFC
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
USA
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
12%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAU
1 - 1
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
GUA
11%
15%
75%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
MAU
3 - 0
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |