Matrei vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matrei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
KEM
4 - 2
MAT
49%
20%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 2
ZIR
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
KIR
3 - 6
MAT
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
KEM
1 - 1
MAT
53%
20%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 3
MAT
65%
19%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 2
FUG
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
FUG
3 - 0
WOR
66%
19%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +36 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
WOR
0 - 3
TEL
48%
24%
29%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MAT
3 - 0
WOR
67%
19%
15%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
WOR
0 - 3
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |