Matonense vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
NOR
8 - 1
MAT
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
MOG
2 - 2
MAT
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
BER
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 0
MAT
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 3
DES
39%
27%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
NOR
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 2
SAO
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAO
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |