Matlock Town vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
MAT
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 1
MAT
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NAN
2 - 2
MAT
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HAL
3 - 2
MAT
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
RFC
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 2
GRE
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
SHE
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 3
GRE
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 2
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |