Matlock Town vs Ashton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MAT
3 - 2
GRA
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
BLY
2 - 1
MAT
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
BUX
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
WOR
6 - 1
MAT
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
RUS
0 - 4
MAT
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ASH
0 - 1
BUX
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
ASH
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
ASH
0 - 0
RFC
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
WOR
5 - 1
ASH
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ASH
0 - 2
NOR
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |