Mathare United vs AFC Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
THI
1 - 1
MAT
51%
26%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
KAK
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 0
MAT
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
ULI
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
KAR
0 - 0
MAT
24%
29%
47%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 0
ULI
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 1
GOR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAI
2 - 1
AFC
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
TUS
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
BAN
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |