Matera vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ANC
2 - 2
MAT
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCC
3 - 1
MAT
18%
25%
57%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
ANC
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 4
SIR
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
MAT
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
REG
3 - 0
CAS
23%
27%
50%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JUS
3 - 3
REG
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
REG
1 - 2
LEC
15%
23%
63%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 2
REG
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
REG
0 - 0
MON
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |