Matera vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
REN
3 - 0
MAT
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 3
MON
17%
23%
61%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SIR
3 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 3
RPO
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 0
MAT
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 1
RIE
18%
23%
58%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
USV
0 - 0
PAG
67%
21%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
CAS
17%
24%
60%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAV
4 - 0
PAG
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 0
REG
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |