Matera vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LRO
0 - 2
MAT
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 4
FCC
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
MES
65%
21%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAT
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
JUS
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NUO
2 - 2
CAS
39%
27%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAG
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
JUS
1 - 0
CAS
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |