Serie D Group F Round 10

Matelica Calcio vs Fermana analysis

Matelica Calcio Fermana
37 ELO 36
-4.4% Tilt -10.8%
25002º General ELO ranking 5062º
658º Country ELO ranking 176º
ELO win probability
46%
Matelica Calcio
24.5%
Draw
29.6%
Fermana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
Matelica Calcio
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.6%
Win probability
Fermana
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Matelica Calcio
Fermana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Matelica Calcio
Matelica Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2016
OLY
Olympia Agnonese
3 - 0
Matelica Calcio
MAT
43%
25%
32%
38 35 3 0
16 Nov. 2016
MON
Monticelli
0 - 2
Matelica Calcio
MAT
34%
23%
43%
37 30 7 +1
12 Nov. 2016
MAT
Matelica Calcio
4 - 1
Recanatese
REC
64%
21%
15%
36 29 7 +1
23 Oct. 2016
MAT
Matelica Calcio
4 - 2
San Marino Calcio
SAN
38%
26%
36%
34 38 4 +2
09 Oct. 2016
MAT
Matelica Calcio
0 - 2
Vastese
ASD
45%
23%
33%
36 36 0 -2

Matches

Fermana
Fermana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2016
VIS
Vis Pesaro
0 - 1
Fermana
FER
47%
25%
28%
36 37 1 0
16 Nov. 2016
FER
Fermana
2 - 1
Recanatese
REC
63%
21%
16%
36 28 8 0
13 Nov. 2016
FER
Fermana
1 - 0
Campobasso
CAM
44%
26%
30%
35 37 2 +1
23 Oct. 2016
OLY
Olympia Agnonese
3 - 2
Fermana
FER
48%
24%
28%
36 35 1 -1
16 Oct. 2016
FER
Fermana
2 - 3
Monticelli
MON
68%
18%
14%
36 28 8 0