Matelica Calcio vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 0
MAT
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
MAT
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 1
REC
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 2
ASD
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIS
0 - 1
FER
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
REC
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
CAM
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 2
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 3
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |