Mataró vs Balaguer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mataró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CEP
0 - 4
CEM
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CEM
1 - 1
CFV
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CDM
3 - 1
CEM
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CEM
1 - 0
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
GIR
4 - 2
CEM
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Balaguer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
BAL
4 - 3
PRA
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CEP
4 - 2
BAL
45%
26%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
BAL
1 - 1
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CFV
4 - 0
BAL
61%
23%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
BAL
2 - 3
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |