Matara vs Colombo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+118%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
MSC
46%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
COU
1 - 4
MAT
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
CSF
0 - 2
MAT
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BLU
0 - 1
MAT
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
NEG
4 - 2
MAT
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Colombo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
PEL
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
MSC
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
REN
1 - 3
COL
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BLU
1 - 0
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
COL
3 - 1
NAV
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |